We recommend that you use 5-7 outcomes. The HiddenLevers default scenarios are:

  • S&P Valuation: 21 PE - Typical Recession
  • S&P Valuation: 33 PE - Late 90s Average
  • Baseline: S&P Up 20%
  • Baseline: S&P Down 20%
  • Past Crashes: Financial Crisis 9/1/08 - 3/9/09
  • S&P Valuation: 27 PE - Flatline
  • Baseline: Treasury rates up 100bp